What’s going on people of YouTube… Wait a sec. I’m not a Youtuber and this ain’t Youtube.
Pearson here with a preview of GW2. Every week I’m going to be rounding up the players and fixtures you should be targeting for your FPL sides, along with all the the information you need to set your team up for the weekend’s fixtures.
The Bankers are those teams I believe will be the week’s high scorers. I’ll include a list of the most likely goalscorers here, followed by all the clean sheet odds. Bench Fodder are the teams, and by extension players, unlikely to enjoy a good game week. They’re the ones to avoid or stick on the end of your bench. Finally, the Red Herring is the week’s biggest trap, a player or team I don’t think will deliver, in spite of prevailing opinion.
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Manchester City (home vs Huddersfield)
If Chelsea can score three against Huddersfield, how many can City score? KDB’s injury should reduce midfield rotation and help Bernado Silva ($7.6 million), while Raheem Sterling ($11.0 million) looks likely to remain a Pep favourite. Also, if you haven’t got Benjamin Mendy ($6.1 million), what are you thinking. He looks more attacking than anything we’ve seen from Chelsea’s Marcus Alonso ($6.5 million) and City’s defence looks strong. Laporte ($5.5 million) played better than I’ve seen before, and his XG (expected goals) of 0.73 was the week’s highest for defenders.
Liverpool (away vs Crystal Palace)
Palace kept a good run of clean sheets at the end of 2017/18 and manager Roy Hodgson may have a plan for the visting Reds, but I still think they’ll get broken down by the visitors. Liverpool should be good for at least two or three goals. Look out for James Milner ($5.5 million) as a great route into their midfield.
Mané (currently $9.6 million) looks set to rise in price again this week, but his second goal against West Ham should have been ruled offside. Salah boasted better XG for the match, 1.55 versus 0.98 for the Senegal international. I think Palace may get a consolation goal, but the bookies don’t favour Zaha ($7.0 million) finding the net (goalscoring odds 3.62).
Everton (home vs Southampton)
I’m backing a home win here. Everton looked impressive against Wolves, despite being down to ten men for much of the game. Expect two goals from the home side, a clean sheet and a rocking atmosphere at Goodison Park. Richarlison ($6.6 million) should be passed fit to start.
Leicester City (home vs Wolverhampton Wanderers)
The Foxes were decent at United last week. Maddison ($6.5 million) got on the ball plenty for a player making his Premier League debut at Old Trafford, so hopefully we’ll see more of him with Vardy ($9.0 million). This one could be a basketball game, as Wolves looked open against Everton. I’d expect plenty of action at both ends, given how many Leicester shipped last season.
Manchester United (away vs Brighton)
I’m going to go for United over Tottenham, in spite of Mourinho’s conservative tactics in the past. The Red Devils coasted to a win in the opening fixture, and I see them doing likewise on the road to Brighton. The Seagulls can be hit on the break, so I think United will be good for a goal or two. Look to the usual sources, Lukaku ($11.0 million), Sanchez ($10.5 million) and Pogba ($8.0 million)
|Sergio Agüero 1.35||Eden Hazard 2.25|
|Harry Kane 1.42||Cenk Tosun 2.27|
|Mohamed Salah 1.60||Marko Arnautovic 2.35|
|Raheem Sterling 1.76||Sadio Mane 2.37|
|Jaime Vardy 2.13||Chris Wood 2.46|
|Roberto Firmino 2.19||P-E Aubameyang 2.48|
|Romelu Lukaku 2.21||Alexis Sanchez 2.53|
|Alvaro Morata 2.23||Christian Eriksen 2.60|
I’ve not included Gabriel Jesus’ ($10.5 million) goalscoring odds of 1.44 above, because I think Agüero has the better chance of starting – though it can be dangerous to make assumptions about Guardiola’s team sheet. I’m surprised that Kane ($12.5 million) is so highly favoured by the bookies. Spurs are still at Wembley and Kane looked sluggish against Newcastle last Saturday – though I don’t think they’ll struggle against Fulham by any means. They’ll be reliant on Christian Eriksen ($9.5 million) for creativity, as Moura ($7.0 million) has shown little in the way of end product so far.
Another one that seems over-valued is Alvaro Morata ($9.0 million), who looks like a striker lacking confidence. Eden Hazard ($10.5 million), on the other hand, could cause the Arsenal defence a lot of problems, if unleashed by Chelsea boss Maurizio Sarri. The Belgian has scored in three of his last five encounters with the Gunners at Stamford Bridge. Marko Arnautovic ($7.0 million) is a decent shout, but West Ham’s new attackers might still be lacking cohesion. Having said that, there are certainly question marks over Bournemouth’s form on the road, given what we saw last season. I’d favour a home win for West Ham, but think both teams can score.
|Manchester City 1.53||Watford 2.98|
|Tottenham 1.92||West Ham 3.01|
|Manchester United 2.03||Wolverhampton Wanders 3.94|
|Everton 2.26||Southampton 4.11|
|Burnley 2.32||Brighton 4.22|
|Liverpool 2.37||Bournemouth 4.50|
|Leicester 2.52||Arsenal 5.36|
|Newcastle 2.53||Crystal Palace 7.84|
|Chelsea 2.80||Fulham 10.14|
|Cardiff City 2.97||Huddersfield 20.14|
Newcastle’s (away vs Cardiff) form on the road wasn’t great last season, and I’m not sure how a trip down to Wales will suit them. While I wouldn’t completely rule out Cardiff getting something from the match, I’m not sure where their goals are going to come from. Rafa Benitez always seems to get the best out of his Newcastle players, in spite of turmoil behind the scenes, and Matt Ritchie ($6.0 million) played well against Spurs. I don’t think Benitez should have substituted the winger when the Magpies were pushing for an equalizer.whenwwhen e winger whentuted the winger whennion) for creativity, because Moura ($7.5 million) lay offs.urmoil behind the scenewhen when whenwww
GW2 Bench Fodder
Huddersfield (away vs Machester City)
The Terriers held City to a goalless draw at the Etihad last season. But that match was under very different circumstances, with City already crowned champions and Huddersfield fighting for survival. I don’t see any returns for the Yorkshire side here.
Southampton (away vs Everton)
With three away wins from 19 last season, and only 17 goals on the road, I just can’t see Southampton troubling Everton. However, the Saints did look slightly better with Danny Ings ($5.5 million) on the pitch.
Fulham (away vs Tottenham)
Fulham had 15 shots against Palace, but no really goalscoring opportunities. Tottenham’s Davinson Sanchez ($6.0 million) should enjoy this one, having registered an assist and more goal attempts than any of his teammates in their season opener.
Watford (away vs Burnley)
Great victory for Watford last week, but Burnley are a tough proposition at Turf Moor. Expect a low scoring game, probably a 1-0 or 2-0 to Burnley. Some talk about Sean Dyche using a two-man attack. For the Hornets, Chalobah ($4.5 million) and Deulofeu ($5.5 million) are still getting up to match fitness.
Arsenal (away vs Chelsea)
Arsenal just don’t need a trip to Stamford Bridge right now. Or ever. Terrible record there, with one draw and four losses in the last five. Monreal ($5.5 million) could return at left-back, but Cech’s ($5.0 million) distribution from the back looks suspect and the centre of midfield doesn’t seem settled. New coach Emery has yet to find the best way to accomodate the forward talent at his disposal.
Ruben Neves ($5.1 million)
The week’s most transfered player, following a goal, an assist and 12 points against Everton. However, given his deep postion and XG of 0.14 and XA (expected assists) of 0.27, I don’t think we’ll see those kind of returns every week. Remember, Wolves had a man advantage for over an hour, after Phil Jagielka’s ($4.5 million) red card saw the Toffees reduced to ten.