It’s Tuesday.  It means knee jerk reactions and total punting for Week 2 of the FPL season.   I am truly only half-kidding, but people involved in the chase gonna chase regardless.  Especially with the first few price changes in the books already.  Everyone wants that shiny new bargain toy for a penny cheaper then they just had it.  So with the first Transfer Tuesday post of the year, Smokey is here to guide you down the trail of transfer ideas that may be a little off beat or because I am seeing something that you didn’t.  Four eyes are better than two, especially when people who are making transfers this early in the week, and making the market climb on a Tuesday.  I don’t get it, but people get nervous and make irrational decisions, messing it up for everyone else.  So while we live the rational transfer life, here are some transfer ideas for maybe a few days down the road to set yourself up for next week’s set of matches.  Cheers!

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Anyone remember the days of yore when the uproar and hoot-nannying was out of control over his transfer fee.  Well if you are a footie fan the Neymar deal with PSG has put that monster under your bed to rest.  this year seemed like a perpetual record transfer fee for each team in the Premier…and likely so the market has gone past us and the money with TV and such rules the world.  Lost in all of this fuss is that Paul Pogba is a good football player, and a growing to be a better fantasy asset for the Red Devils this year.  And they Aren’t even done spending on talent to surround the superstars on their team with more superstars.  So what can Paul Pogba do for you this year in the official game that he didn’t do last year at the glorified nature of his being with all the hype and none of the fantasy booty.  His price is cheaper than last year’s end price and I am here to learn you something about him for the official game this year.  Stay tuned, your midfield will have one locked in starter for week one after the bump.  Cheers!

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Wednesdays from now on are the day when we let nothing hide between friends. It is fairly simple: I will show you my team for the next three Wednesday’s leading up to the start of the season. I do expect that if you read this and that, you’ll do the exact same thing, because two heads are better than one, and 10 is even better. Get it? Cool. So this is draft number six on the year for me so far, the others were more fiddling out of boredom, but now we are starting to see news out and about pertaining to certain teams formations, transfers, and injury updates. So enjoy this early look at Smokey’s team and critique away, because I prolly deserve to be slandered for my thoughts and team selection. Cheers!

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The biggest thing I always hear around the inter-webs is: will Davy Klaassen’s skill on the pitch translate to something of a fantasy commodity?  The best answer people never give is: we will see. Listen, I get that he is a well-hyped player coming over from the Eredivisie, but how will his skill be a good thing for Everton?  The Toffees have a bigger hole to fill with the departure of Romelu Lukaku, but that post will be coming in the next week or so… let’s stay with the guy who are going to be the facilitators of goals for himself and others.  Klaassen had 14 goals and 8 assists last year in 2800 minutes played in the play-making/attacking role for Ajax last year.  Now, the League is not on par defensively with what the Premier brings, but has it’s pluses and minuses to help it match-up a bit.  So we can say that Davy is going to be used in a similar fashion as he was previous and play behind the front two of Rooney/Sandro or both in some sets.  That is a good thing because I think both of those top players offer up different things that will unlock the midfield for the Dutchman.

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So do you like Fantasy Sports? Do you like soccer? Have you ever made a drunken bar bet and then been asked to not only justify your unjustifiable hubris, and then asked to actually come through and perform your favorite Nicki Minaj song in public?  Well, two outta three ain’t bad. … So, if you’re still with me, let’s see how a Novice fairs playing EPL fantasy soccer this season.  The pricing value scale will be as follows:

  • Buy. Just like with every new generation of the iPhone, you’re willing to wait in line to overnight to get this.  Full price be damned, this is worth it.
  • Grab. Lightning deal online. Get it now, the price won’t get better and it’s a good investment.
  • Avoid. This is that van that pulls up next to you at the gas station and says, ”Hey, wanna buy some speakers?” The answer is always no.     
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When is excess a bad thing?  Welp, when you only have a limited number of spots at your disposal for fantasy goodies (that being 11 starting spots), and then narrow that down even further because of the three-max per team, it becomes interesting.  Next thing you do is add-in the prices of the ridiculously expensive players that City has at it’s disposal…  They have 5 midfielders over 8.0.  I will repeat that: 8.0!  Just for comparison’s sake, there are nine teams that don’t have one player with an 8.0 price tag.  I am not going to repeat myself again there though.  The worst part is, those are just the entry point to the starters for the Sky Blues.  I am not even here to discuss the cheap players who aren’t cheap anyways,  I am hear to talk about Kevin de Bruyne, Gabriel Jesus, and Sergio Aguero.  The over 10.0 super club.  I have seen in the preseason that they all have coexisted at some point or another on the pitch.  The problem is that if you wanna diversify your team, which one do you roster?  I am not going to climb to the mountain top and say you need a Man City offensive player, but I will whisper it carelessly.  Wham!

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The FPL value system has been skewed this year.  Defense is up a cool 15% of what prices were last year.  The forwards are a huge step off between the haves and the have nots.  Now on to the midfielders…  Where this year it seems the starting point for fantasy fertility is that £7.0 precipice.  It isn’t an awful place to find value though, when you see the names that are littered either at that mark or a million below.  Value is in the eye of the beholder… or that is what dollar stores have been preaching for years as their business model.  Is buying a dollar spatula better than buying an 11 dollar one that has an ergonomic handle and does back-hand springs while you flip flap jacks?  I mean in theory, a spatula that could do that would be more coveted then a fake fish on the wall that sings, amirite?  Where was I?  Oh yeah, midfielders on the bargain train to FPLville.  The medium point this year for value this year doesn’t start at £5.5 like last years it is now £7.0.  Argue all you want, but just look at the names that surround that value point, or minus a buck.  Or just stay right here and I will break it down like the real G that I am.  Cheers!

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Building a defense is the keystone to a good fantasy team.  The only problem is getting the right ones from the right teams at the right time.  Sound easy enough… wrong!  With so many names and rotation risks for so many teams, how do we know who will do what and when?  We don’t, but it never hurts to start with a team that has the makings of a top-3 defensive unit for the upcoming year.  I introduce you to Victor Lindelof.  the new signee for the Red Devils that looks like a key piece for a Mourinho defense that can be the makings of a solid United squad.  His only fall back is that he doesn’t have the year after year pedigree that we can say makes us sleep better at night.  With only one season to his credit with over 1000 minutes, the neophyte to the Premier may be viewed as a wait and see proposition. Though we will have to see how he is utilized in the defensive scheme of things.  As of now, he looks to have a starting spot based on what United has in the cupboard.  So should Victor be part of your initial squad?

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When a useful fantasy name comes on board to the fantasy universe, we instantly ask two questions: Does Mo Salah have the skill set that translates to the FPL? Second, does his price give him the worthiness of a roster spot?  Addressing this is not as cut an dry as yes and yes.  It is more like maybe and maybe.  His skill set definitely portrays a type of player that can flourish in the Premier League.  After coming over from Seria A, he boasts stats that ooze potential for possibly the same thing.  Last season he scored 15 goals and had 11 assists.  Now transfer that over to the premier and he would have easily been in the top-6 of midfielders for points.  But that’s where the cut and dry comes in.  Seria A is not the Premier and vice versa.  They are like identical cousins, yeah they grow from the same family tree but one is an account and the other is an actuary.  Similar but different.  He goes to a team that surrounds him with players of value and skill set that he should be able to carve out enough tallies to make him useful.  Tallies are what we need.  For him to be a rosterable fantasy playerh he would need to get 20 goals/assists on the year.  The big question is: is that possible?

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The game has been open for two weeks now.  So it is a good exercise to take a look at the growing number of FPL players are doing with their funds.  Because the 20-plus drafts that they have done during that time aren’t enough, we need hard numbers.  Facts in hand.  Because the FPL universe, especially in the preseason, is a giant lemming fest of FPL experts spitting the same info… just repackaged into something new.  The best advice you get isn’t from me, which it usually is, but from building your own team and using common sense.  The ownership of guys has never dictated anything to me.  Form (which we don’t have right now) and schedule (which we most certainly do have are the best tools in your tool belt).  Watch your preseason games.  Get a feel for the starting XI that are developing in interesting circumstances for position battles. With two more weeks until the season starts we still have more incoming transfers in the summer window, injuries, and manager dissatisfaction of their players to come.  So yes, look at the ownership of players and use that to your advantage to not sway your decision, but to help make it yourself.  Here’s a look at the FPL most owned 15 players that are currently swaying the market.  Cheers!

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